EIA: STEO Eyes Brent at $95 bbl, WTI $88.32 bbl in 2026
6/09 11:47 AM
EIA: STEO Eyes Brent at $95 bbl, WTI $88.32 bbl in 2026
SECAUCUS, NJ (DTN) -- The Energy Information Administration (EIA) is keeping
its oil price forecasts steady to slightly higher as the Middle East conflict
and blockade of the energy-sensitive Strait of Hormuz maintain upward pressure
on pricing, the agency's Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) for June, released
Tuesday (6/9), showed.
The EIA forecasts the 2026 average for Brent at $95, holding flat from
expectations it mapped out in its May STEO. In 2025, Brent averaged $69 bbl.
For West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, the EIA's projection for 2026 is
$88.32 bbl versus its $85.33 bbl expectation in May. In 2025, WTI averaged
$65.40.
"Based on the assumption that the Strait of Hormuz remains closed to most
shipping traffic in the near term, falling oil inventories keep Brent prices at
an average of $105 per barrel in June and July," the EIA said in the June STEO.
The EIA said it models a massive full-year net inventory draw because of a
later reopening baseline and an extended operational recovery timeline for
regional shut-in volumes.
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