CSU Team Eyes 16 Named Storms in Atlantic Hurricane Season
7/09 11:05 AM
CSU Team Eyes 16 Named Storms in Atlantic Hurricane Season
Dawn Gallagher
DTN Energy Reporter
OAKHURST, N.J. (DTN) --- Colorado State University Researchers decreased
slightly their 2025 Atlantic basin hurricane forecast, which began June 1 and
runs through Nov. 30, now predicting for a slightly above-normal season with a
total of 16 named stores versus 17 previously estimated. Of those, eight are
expected to become hurricanes, with three forecast to become major hurricanes.
The team previously called for nine of the storms to become hurricanes with
four to reach major hurricane strength with sustained winds of 111 miles per
hour or greater.
"The primary reason for the slight decrease in the outlook is both observed
and predicted high levels of Caribbean shear. High levels of Caribbean share in
June/July are typically associated with less active hurricane seasons," wrote
senior research scientist Philip J. Klotzbach, Professor Michael M. Bell and
research scientist Levi Silvers.
"However, we also anticipate the tropical Pacific to be characterized by
ENSO neutral conditions. Sea surface temperatures across the eastern and
central Atlantic are slightly warmer than normal, but not as warm as they were
last year at this time. A warmer-than-normal tropical Atlantic combined with
likely ENSO neutral conditions typically provides a more conducive dynamic and
thermodynamic environment for hurricane formation and intensification".
The team said the probabilities for at least one major category 3,4 or 5,
hurricane landfall on the entire U.S. coastline is 48%; the U.S. East Coast
including the Florida peninsula is 25%; and the Gulf Coast from the Florida
Panhandle westward to Brownville is 31%.
Another update is slated for release on Aug. 6.
(c) Copyright 2025 DTN, LLC. All rights reserved.